Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 119.238734 131.945117 145.030561 159.485488 174.977431 191.054916 208.973317
2024-10-06 103.813254 123.269896 144.317360 168.655327 195.897928 225.329987 259.406563
2024-10-13 89.560983 113.737347 141.122262 174.128066 212.512269 255.432144 306.730018
2024-10-20 75.239401 102.129821 133.985115 173.912026 222.005970 277.467911 345.631870
2024-10-27 63.911930 92.525431 127.896823 173.863722 231.013950 298.735664 383.998924
2024-11-03 57.407466 88.031229 127.331549 180.011606 247.268647 328.767601 433.397874
2024-11-10 51.249872 83.144483 125.580265 184.148563 260.778157 355.539159 479.341018
2024-11-17 46.295554 79.234637 124.565224 188.823301 274.769714 382.980391 526.531974
2024-11-24 42.395556 76.316652 124.488385 194.458241 289.911707 412.020258 576.191741
2024-12-01 35.594143 68.234447 116.409268 188.462439 289.078927 420.201422 599.232652
2024-12-08 30.713662 62.499214 111.130022 185.833335 292.355003 433.466705 628.752237
2024-12-15 27.503662 59.061601 108.910287 187.284093 301.059657 453.885679 667.786671
2024-12-22 25.032504 56.665569 108.196920 191.020105 313.285107 479.634178 714.888178
2024-12-29 23.569825 55.879959 109.936527 198.461342 330.994750 513.249642 773.214427
2025-01-05 21.633588 53.985551 109.712468 202.830070 344.339699 541.138713 824.374966
2025-01-12 18.897394 50.193695 106.018546 201.538632 349.242700 557.330272 859.891852
2025-01-19 16.596210 46.916793 102.888078 200.870883 354.902529 574.558021 897.000050
2025-01-26 15.615209 46.235132 104.194621 207.338617 371.396390 607.362864 956.070512
2025-02-02 14.426408 44.933833 104.264461 211.709669 384.732163 635.831997 1009.490345
2025-02-09 13.440363 43.936867 104.777306 216.758704 399.144507 666.005961 1065.631841
2025-02-16 12.670794 43.331520 105.950950 222.917061 415.377296 699.045475 1126.230609
2025-02-23 10.542747 39.086028 99.835979 216.237318 411.140712 701.991444 1144.154975
2025-03-02 9.065428 36.174222 96.031410 213.300623 412.630414 713.246301 1173.930198